The model estimates 1.59 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 0.99 for Sturm Graz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AZ Alkmaar and 6 for Sturm Graz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AZ Alkmaar · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AZ Alkmaar is going head to head with Sturm Graz on December 10, 2026 at 17:45. This match is part of UEFA Europa League — Round 6.
AZ Alkmaar take on Sturm Graz in the UEFA Europa League on 10 December 2026 at 17:45.
AZ Alkmaar are currently placed 14th in the table with 6 points, while Sturm Graz occupy 24th position with 4 points.
AZ Alkmaar come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sturm Graz have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.58. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 51%.
AZ STUAZ STUAZ STUAZ STUAZ STUAZ STUAZ STUAZ STUAZ STUThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.
AZ Alkmaar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
AZ Alkmaar score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Sturm Graz's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sturm Graz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Sturm Graz have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
