The model estimates 2.16 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.11 for Din. Zagreb. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AZ Alkmaar and 6 for Din. Zagreb, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AZ Alkmaar · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AZ Alkmaar is going head to head with Din. Zagreb on January 20, 2027 at 21:00. This match is part of UEFA Europa League — Round 7.
AZ Alkmaar take on Din. Zagreb in the UEFA Europa League on 20 January 2027 at 21:00.
AZ Alkmaar are currently placed 10th in the table with 6 points, while Din. Zagreb occupy 18th position with 4 points.
AZ Alkmaar come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Din. Zagreb have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.27. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 61%.
AZ DINAZ DINAZ DINAZ DINAZ DINAZ DINAZ DINAZ DINAZ DINThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AZ Alkmaar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AZ Alkmaar score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Din. Zagreb's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Din. Zagreb's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Din. Zagreb have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
