The model estimates 1.48 goals for Manchester Utd and 1.63 for Aston Villa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Manchester Utd and 6 for Aston Villa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Aston Villa · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Manchester Utd is going head to head with Aston Villa on November 08, 2026 at 16:30. This match is part of Premier League — Round 10.
Manchester Utd take on Aston Villa in the Premier League on 8 November 2026 at 16:30.
Manchester Utd are currently placed 16th in the table with 7 points, while Aston Villa occupy 9th position with 11 points.
Manchester Utd come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aston Villa have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 178 recorded meetings, Manchester Utd have 96 wins against Aston Villa, with 41 draws.
Prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.10. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 63%.




Manchester Utd have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Manchester Utd's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Manchester Utd's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.