The model estimates 2.66 goals for Freiburg and 0.96 for Union Berlin. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Freiburg and 6 for Union Berlin, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Freiburg · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Freiburg is going head to head with Union Berlin on November 07, 2026 at 14:30. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 9.
Freiburg take on Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 7 November 2026 at 14:30.
Freiburg are currently placed 3rd in the table with 13 points, while Union Berlin occupy 17th position with 6 points.
Freiburg come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Union Berlin have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Union Berlin have 9 wins against Freiburg, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Freiburg to win with probability 66%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.62. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 58%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Freiburg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin concede an average of 2.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.