The model estimates 1.05 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.50 for Salzburg. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sturm Graz and 6 for Salzburg, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Salzburg · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sturm Graz is going head to head with Salzburg on November 07, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Austrian Bundesliga — Round 12.
Sturm Graz take on Salzburg in the Austrian Bundesliga on 7 November 2026 at 19:00.
Sturm Graz are currently placed 4th in the table with 18 points, while Salzburg occupy 2nd position with 24 points.
Sturm Graz come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Salzburg have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Salzburg have 1 win against Sturm Graz.
Prediction: Salzburg to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.55. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 52%.




In their last 6 matches, Sturm Graz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sturm Graz's last 6 matches.
Sturm Graz score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Salzburg have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Salzburg's last 6 matches.
Salzburg have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.