The model estimates 1.15 goals for Brest and 1.64 for Lyon. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Brest and 6 for Lyon, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lyon · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Brest is going head to head with Lyon on November 07, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 10.
Brest take on Lyon in the Ligue 1 on 7 November 2026 at 16:00.
Brest are currently placed 13th in the table with 9 points, while Lyon occupy 4th position with 14 points.
Brest come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lyon have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 31 recorded meetings, Lyon have 14 wins against Brest, with 10 draws.
Prediction: Lyon to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.80. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 57%.




Brest have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Brest's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Brest's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lyon have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.