The model estimates 2.62 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.45 for Rayo Vallecano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Real Sociedad and 6 for Rayo Vallecano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Real Sociedad · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Real Sociedad is going head to head with Rayo Vallecano on November 08, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 12.
Real Sociedad take on Rayo Vallecano in the LaLiga on 8 November 2026 at 16:00.
Real Sociedad are currently placed 5th in the table with 19 points, while Rayo Vallecano occupy 15th position with 9 points.
Real Sociedad come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 53 recorded meetings, Real Sociedad have 20 wins against Rayo Vallecano, with 16 draws.
Prediction: Real Sociedad to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.07. Over 2.5: 77%. BTTS: 72%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Real Sociedad's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Real Sociedad have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Real Sociedad have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rayo Vallecano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.