The model estimates 1.05 goals for Grazer AK and 1.78 for Sturm Graz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Grazer AK and 6 for Sturm Graz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sturm Graz · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Grazer AK is going head to head with Sturm Graz on December 12, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Austrian Bundesliga — Round 16.
Grazer AK take on Sturm Graz in the Austrian Bundesliga on 12 December 2026 at 19:00.
Grazer AK are currently placed 8th in the table with 10 points, while Sturm Graz occupy 4th position with 18 points.
Grazer AK come into this match with 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sturm Graz have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 59 recorded meetings, Sturm Graz have 24 wins against Grazer AK, with 15 draws.
Prediction: Sturm Graz to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.83. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 55%.




In their last 6 matches, Grazer AK have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Grazer AK have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Grazer AK's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sturm Graz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sturm Graz's last 6 matches.
Sturm Graz score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.