The model estimates 1.54 goals for Sturm Graz and 0.88 for Celje. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sturm Graz and 5 for Celje, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sturm Graz · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sturm Graz is going head to head with Celje on November 05, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Europa League — Round 4.
Sturm Graz take on Celje in the UEFA Europa League on 5 November 2026 at 20:00.
Sturm Graz are currently placed 19th in the table with 4 points, while Celje occupy 29th position with 1 points.
Sturm Graz come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Celje have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 completed matches.
Prediction: Sturm Graz to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.42. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 48%.




In their last 6 matches, Sturm Graz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sturm Graz's last 6 matches.
Sturm Graz score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Celje have won only 1 of their last 5 matches.
Celje have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
Celje concede an average of 1.60 goals per game across their last 5 matches.