The model estimates 2.07 goals for Swansea City and 0.77 for Derby. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Swansea City and 6 for Derby, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Swansea City · 60%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Swansea City is going head to head with Derby on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 43.
Swansea City take on Derby in the Championship on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Swansea City are currently placed 3rd in the table with 26 points, while Derby occupy 23rd position with 7 points.
Swansea City come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derby have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Swansea City have 1 win against Derby.
Prediction: Swansea City to win with probability 60%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.84. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 48%.




In their last 6 matches, Swansea City have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Swansea City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Swansea City's last 6 matches.
Derby have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.