The model estimates 2.25 goals for Villarreal and 2.67 for PSG. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Villarreal and 6 for PSG, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: PSG · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Villarreal is going head to head with PSG on November 03, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Champions League — Round 4.
Villarreal take on PSG in the UEFA Champions League on 3 November 2026 at 20:00.
Villarreal are currently placed 19th in the table with 3 points, while PSG occupy 1st position with 9 points.
Villarreal come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas PSG have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: PSG to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.91. Over 2.5: 87%. BTTS: 84%.




In their last 6 matches, Villarreal have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Villarreal's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Villarreal's last 6 matches.
PSG are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, PSG have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of PSG's last 6 matches.