The model estimates 3.23 goals for Barcelona and 1.74 for Aston Villa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Barcelona and 6 for Aston Villa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Barcelona · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Barcelona is going head to head with Aston Villa on November 03, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Champions League — Round 4.
Barcelona take on Aston Villa in the UEFA Champions League on 3 November 2026 at 20:00.
Barcelona are currently placed 8th in the table with 6 points, while Aston Villa occupy 2nd position with 9 points.
Barcelona come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aston Villa have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Barcelona to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 3-1. Avg goals: 4.97. Over 2.5: 87%. BTTS: 80%.
BARBARBARBARBARBARBARBARBARThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Barcelona's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Barcelona's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Barcelona have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
