The model estimates 1.37 goals for Swansea City and 1.63 for Middlesbrough. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Swansea City and 6 for Middlesbrough, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Middlesbrough · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Swansea City is going head to head with Middlesbrough on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 46.
Swansea City take on Middlesbrough in the Championship on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Swansea City are currently placed 3rd in the table with 23 points, while Middlesbrough occupy 1st position with 25 points.
Swansea City come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Middlesbrough have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 26 recorded meetings, Middlesbrough have 11 wins against Swansea City, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Middlesbrough to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.00. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 61%.




In their last 6 matches, Swansea City have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Swansea City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Swansea City's last 6 matches.
Middlesbrough are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Middlesbrough's last 6 matches.