The model estimates 1.90 goals for Millwall and 0.89 for Derby. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Millwall and 6 for Derby, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Millwall · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Millwall is going head to head with Derby on October 31, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 13.
Millwall take on Derby in the Championship on 31 October 2026 at 15:00.
Millwall are currently placed 13th in the table with 15 points, while Derby occupy 23rd position with 7 points.
Millwall come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derby have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Millwall to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.79. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 51%.
MILDERMILDERMILDERMILDERMILDERMILDERMILDERMILDERMILDERMillwall have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Millwall have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Millwall's last 6 matches.
Derby have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.
