The model estimates 1.07 goals for Derby and 1.51 for Wolves. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derby and 6 for Wolves, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Wolves · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derby is going head to head with Wolves on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 46.
Derby take on Wolves in the Championship on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Derby are currently placed 23rd in the table with 7 points, while Wolves occupy 5th position with 21 points.
Derby come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Wolves have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Wolves to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.57. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 53%.




Derby have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Wolves have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Wolves's last 6 matches.
Wolves have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.