The model estimates 2.07 goals for Manchester Utd and 1.63 for AS Roma. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Manchester Utd and 6 for AS Roma, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Manchester Utd · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Manchester Utd is going head to head with AS Roma on November 03, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Champions League — Round 4.
Manchester Utd take on AS Roma in the UEFA Champions League on 3 November 2026 at 20:00.
Manchester Utd are currently placed 21st in the table with 3 points, while AS Roma occupy 15th position with 4 points.
Manchester Utd come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AS Roma have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Manchester Utd to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.70. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 71%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Manchester Utd's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Manchester Utd have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Manchester Utd's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AS Roma have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of AS Roma's last 6 matches.
AS Roma have won 4 of their last 6 matches.