The model estimates 1.35 goals for Lorient and 0.91 for Brest. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lorient and 6 for Brest, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lorient · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lorient is going head to head with Brest on October 31, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 9.
Lorient take on Brest in the Ligue 1 on 31 October 2026 at 16:00.
Lorient are currently placed 7th in the table with 12 points, while Brest occupy 13th position with 9 points.
Lorient come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Brest have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 27 recorded meetings, Lorient have 14 wins against Brest, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Lorient to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.26. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 46%.




In their last 6 matches, Lorient have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lorient's last 6 matches.
Lorient have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Brest have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Brest's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Brest's last 6 matches.