The model estimates 1.53 goals for Preston North End and 1.31 for Derby. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Preston North End and 6 for Derby, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Preston North End · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Preston North End is going head to head with Derby on December 26, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 23.
Preston North End take on Derby in the Championship on 26 December 2026 at 15:00.
Preston North End are currently placed 24th in the table with 8 points, while Derby occupy 23rd position with 10 points.
Preston North End come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derby have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Preston North End to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.83. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 59%.
PREDERPREDERPREDERPREDERPREDERPREDERPREDERPREDERPREDERPreston North End have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Preston North End have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Preston North End have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Derby have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Derby have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.
