The model estimates 1.33 goals for Derby and 1.45 for Bolton Wanderers. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derby and 6 for Bolton Wanderers, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bolton Wanderers · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derby is going head to head with Bolton Wanderers on November 06, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 15.
Derby take on Bolton Wanderers in the Championship on 6 November 2026 at 20:00.
Derby are currently placed 23rd in the table with 7 points, while Bolton Wanderers occupy 18th position with 14 points.
Derby come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bolton Wanderers have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.78. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 58%.
DERBOLDERBOLDERBOLDERBOLDERBOLDERBOLDERBOLDERBOLDERBOLDerby have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bolton Wanderers have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 matches.
