The model estimates 1.11 goals for Derby and 1.49 for Sheffield Utd. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derby and 6 for Sheffield Utd, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sheffield Utd · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derby is going head to head with Sheffield Utd on December 29, 2026 at 22:45. This match is part of Championship — Round 24.
Derby take on Sheffield Utd in the Championship on 29 December 2026 at 22:45.
Derby are currently placed 23rd in the table with 7 points, while Sheffield Utd occupy 12th position with 16 points.
Derby come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sheffield Utd have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Derby have yet to beat Sheffield Utd, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Sheffield Utd to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.61. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 54%.




Derby have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.
Sheffield Utd have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sheffield Utd's last 6 away matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sheffield Utd's last 6 away matches.