The model estimates 1.12 goals for Derby and 1.64 for Blackburn. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derby and 6 for Blackburn, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Blackburn · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derby is going head to head with Blackburn on January 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 25.
Derby take on Blackburn in the Championship on 1 January 2027 at 00:00.
Derby are currently placed 23rd in the table with 7 points, while Blackburn occupy 10th position with 18 points.
Derby come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Blackburn have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Blackburn to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.76. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 56%.




Derby have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Blackburn have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Blackburn have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Blackburn's last 6 matches.