The model estimates 0.95 goals for Salgueiros and 0.93 for Castro Daire. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Salgueiros and 6 for Castro Daire, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Draw · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Salgueiros is going head to head with Castro Daire on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 18.
Salgueiros take on Castro Daire in the Campeonato de Portugal on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
Salgueiros are currently placed 36th in the table with 7 points, while Castro Daire occupy 20th position with 10 points.
Salgueiros come into this match with 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Castro Daire have 2 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Salgueiros have yet to beat Castro Daire, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Salgueiros and Castro Daire to draw with probability 35%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.88. Over 2.5: 29%. BTTS: 39%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Salgueiros's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Salgueiros have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Salgueiros have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Castro Daire are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Castro Daire have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Castro Daire have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.