The model estimates 1.41 goals for Castro Daire and 0.91 for Florgrade. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Castro Daire and 6 for Florgrade, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Castro Daire · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Castro Daire is going head to head with Florgrade on November 01, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 7.
Castro Daire take on Florgrade in the Campeonato de Portugal on 1 November 2026 at 18:00.
Castro Daire are currently placed 17th in the table with 9 points, while Florgrade occupy 15th position with 10 points.
Castro Daire come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Florgrade have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Castro Daire to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.32. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 47%.




In their last 6 matches, Castro Daire have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Castro Daire have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Castro Daire's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Florgrade's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Florgrade have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Florgrade have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.