The model estimates 1.19 goals for Florgrade and 1.11 for Castro Daire. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Florgrade and 6 for Castro Daire, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Castro Daire · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Florgrade is going head to head with Castro Daire on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 20.
Florgrade take on Castro Daire in the Campeonato de Portugal on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
Florgrade are currently placed 15th in the table with 10 points, while Castro Daire occupy 17th position with 9 points.
Florgrade come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Castro Daire have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Florgrade and Castro Daire to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.30. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 48%.
FLOCASFLOCASFLOCASFLOCASFLOCASFLOCASFLOCASFLOCASFLOCASThere have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Florgrade's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Florgrade have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Florgrade have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Castro Daire have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Castro Daire have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Castro Daire's last 6 matches.
