The model estimates 1.17 goals for Estrela Calheta and 1.29 for Salgueiros. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Estrela Calheta and 6 for Salgueiros, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Salgueiros · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Estrela Calheta is going head to head with Salgueiros on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 21.
Estrela Calheta take on Salgueiros in the Campeonato de Portugal on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Estrela Calheta are currently placed 45th in the table with 5 points, while Salgueiros occupy 36th position with 6 points.
Estrela Calheta come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Salgueiros have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Estrela Calheta and Salgueiros to draw with probability 30%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.46. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 52%.
ESTSALESTSALESTSALESTSALESTSALESTSALESTSALESTSALESTSALEstrela Calheta have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Estrela Calheta's last 6 matches.
Estrela Calheta concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Salgueiros's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Salgueiros have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Salgueiros have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
