The model estimates 2.82 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.22 for Malaga. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Real Sociedad and 6 for Malaga, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Real Sociedad · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Real Sociedad is going head to head with Malaga on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 21.
Real Sociedad take on Malaga in the LaLiga on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Real Sociedad are currently placed 5th in the table with 19 points, while Malaga occupy 20th position with 5 points.
Real Sociedad come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Malaga have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Real Sociedad have 1 win against Malaga.
Prediction: Real Sociedad to win with probability 64%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.05. Over 2.5: 77%. BTTS: 67%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Real Sociedad's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Real Sociedad's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Real Sociedad have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Malaga have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
Malaga have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.