The model estimates 2.36 goals for FC Porto and 1.65 for Napoli. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for FC Porto and 6 for Napoli, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: FC Porto · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
FC Porto is going head to head with Napoli on November 04, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Champions League — Round 4.
FC Porto take on Napoli in the UEFA Champions League on 4 November 2026 at 20:00.
FC Porto are currently placed 34th in the table with 0 points, while Napoli occupy 22nd position with 3 points.
FC Porto come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Napoli have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: FC Porto to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.02. Over 2.5: 76%. BTTS: 74%.




In their last 6 matches, FC Porto have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
FC Porto have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of FC Porto's last 6 matches.
Napoli have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Napoli have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Napoli's last 6 matches.