The model estimates 2.52 goals for Lens and 2.21 for Como. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lens and 6 for Como, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lens · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lens is going head to head with Como on November 04, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Champions League — Round 4.
Lens take on Como in the UEFA Champions League on 4 November 2026 at 20:00.
Lens are currently placed 27th in the table with 3 points, while Como occupy 9th position with 6 points.
Lens come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Como have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lens to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.72. Over 2.5: 85%. BTTS: 82%.




Lens have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lens's last 6 matches.
Lens concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Como have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Como have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Como score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.