The model estimates 1.25 goals for Malaga and 1.52 for Alaves. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Malaga and 6 for Alaves, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alaves · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Malaga is going head to head with Alaves on January 31, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 22.
Malaga take on Alaves in the LaLiga on 31 January 2027 at 00:00.
Malaga are currently placed 20th in the table with 5 points, while Alaves occupy 8th position with 12 points.
Malaga come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alaves have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Malaga have yet to beat Alaves, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Alaves to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.77. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 57%.




Malaga have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
Alaves have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Alaves have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alaves's last 6 matches.