The model estimates 2.24 goals for AEK Athens and 2.51 for Real Madrid. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AEK Athens and 6 for Real Madrid, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Real Madrid · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AEK Athens is going head to head with Real Madrid on November 04, 2026 at 17:45. This match is part of UEFA Champions League — Round 4.
AEK Athens take on Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League on 4 November 2026 at 17:45.
AEK Athens are currently placed 29th in the table with 3 points, while Real Madrid occupy 4th position with 9 points.
AEK Athens come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Real Madrid have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.74. Over 2.5: 85%. BTTS: 83%.
AEKREAAEKREAAEKREAAEKREAAEKREAAEKREAAEKREAAEKREAAEKREAThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of AEK Athens's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AEK Athens have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of AEK Athens's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Real Madrid have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Real Madrid have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Real Madrid's last 6 matches.
