The model estimates 2.34 goals for PSG and 0.52 for Troyes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for PSG and 6 for Troyes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: PSG · 69%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
PSG is going head to head with Troyes on November 07, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 10.
PSG take on Troyes in the Ligue 1 on 7 November 2026 at 16:00.
PSG are currently placed 1st in the table with 17 points, while Troyes occupy 17th position with 6 points.
PSG come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Troyes have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 34 recorded meetings, PSG have 22 wins against Troyes, with 8 draws.
Prediction: PSG to win with probability 69%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.87. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 38%.




In their last 6 matches, PSG have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
PSG have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of PSG's last 6 matches.
Troyes have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Troyes's last 6 matches.
Troyes have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.