The model estimates 1.55 goals for PSG and 0.76 for Lorient. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for PSG and 6 for Lorient, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: PSG · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
PSG is going head to head with Lorient on November 28, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 12.
PSG take on Lorient in the Ligue 1 on 28 November 2026 at 16:00.
PSG are currently placed 5th in the table with 14 points, while Lorient occupy 8th position with 12 points.
PSG come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lorient have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 41 recorded meetings, PSG have 22 wins against Lorient, with 9 draws.
Prediction: PSG to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.31. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 44%.
PSGLORPSGLORPSGLORPSGLORPSGLORPSGLORPSGLORPSGLORPSGLORIn their last 6 matches, PSG have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of PSG's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of PSG's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lorient have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lorient's last 6 matches.
Lorient have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
