The model estimates 0.82 goals for Nice and 1.82 for PSG. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nice and 6 for PSG, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: PSG · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nice is going head to head with PSG on November 21, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 11.
Nice take on PSG in the Ligue 1 on 21 November 2026 at 16:00.
Nice are currently placed 10th in the table with 11 points, while PSG occupy 1st position with 17 points.
Nice come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas PSG have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 85 recorded meetings, PSG have 38 wins against Nice, with 23 draws.
Prediction: PSG to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.64. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 48%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Nice's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nice have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Nice's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, PSG have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
PSG have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of PSG's last 6 matches.