The model estimates 0.72 goals for Troyes and 1.49 for Lyon. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Troyes and 6 for Lyon, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lyon · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Troyes is going head to head with Lyon on December 05, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 13.
Troyes take on Lyon in the Ligue 1 on 5 December 2026 at 16:00.
Troyes are currently placed 17th in the table with 6 points, while Lyon occupy 5th position with 14 points.
Troyes come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lyon have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 40 recorded meetings, Lyon have 31 wins against Troyes, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Lyon to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.22. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 41%.




Troyes have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Troyes's last 6 matches.
Troyes have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lyon have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
Lyon score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.