The model estimates 1.11 goals for Troyes and 1.06 for Le Havre. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Troyes and 6 for Le Havre, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Troyes · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Troyes is going head to head with Le Havre on November 21, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 11.
Troyes take on Le Havre in the Ligue 1 on 21 November 2026 at 16:00.
Troyes are currently placed 17th in the table with 6 points, while Le Havre occupy 18th position with 2 points.
Troyes come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Le Havre have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 30 recorded meetings, Le Havre have 13 wins against Troyes, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Troyes and Le Havre to draw with probability 32%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.17. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 45%.




Troyes have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Troyes's last 6 matches.
Troyes have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
Le Havre have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Le Havre have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Le Havre's last 6 matches.