The model estimates 2.43 goals for Chelsea and 1.49 for Manchester Utd. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chelsea and 6 for Manchester Utd, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chelsea · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chelsea is going head to head with Manchester Utd on October 31, 2026 at 12:30. This match is part of Premier League — Round 9.
Chelsea take on Manchester Utd in the Premier League on 31 October 2026 at 12:30.
Chelsea are currently placed 5th in the table with 13 points, while Manchester Utd occupy 16th position with 7 points.
Chelsea come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Manchester Utd have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 181 recorded meetings, Manchester Utd have 69 wins against Chelsea, with 57 draws.
Prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.92. Over 2.5: 75%. BTTS: 72%.




In their last 6 matches, Chelsea have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chelsea have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Chelsea score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Manchester Utd have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Manchester Utd's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Manchester Utd's last 6 matches.