The model estimates 1.16 goals for Toulouse and 1.89 for PSG. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Toulouse and 6 for PSG, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: PSG · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Toulouse is going head to head with PSG on December 05, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 13.
Toulouse take on PSG in the Ligue 1 on 5 December 2026 at 16:00.
Toulouse are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while PSG occupy 1st position with 17 points.
Toulouse come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas PSG have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 76 recorded meetings, PSG have 45 wins against Toulouse, with 14 draws.
Prediction: PSG to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.05. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 60%.




In their last 6 matches, Toulouse have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Toulouse have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Toulouse's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, PSG have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
PSG have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of PSG's last 6 matches.