The model estimates 1.28 goals for Nice and 0.75 for Troyes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nice and 6 for Troyes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Nice · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nice is going head to head with Troyes on November 28, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 12.
Nice take on Troyes in the Ligue 1 on 28 November 2026 at 16:00.
Nice are currently placed 10th in the table with 11 points, while Troyes occupy 17th position with 6 points.
Nice come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Troyes have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 37 recorded meetings, Nice have 18 wins against Troyes, with 12 draws.
Prediction: Nice to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.03. Over 2.5: 33%. BTTS: 40%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Nice's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nice have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Nice's last 6 matches.
Troyes have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Troyes's last 6 matches.
Troyes have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.