The model estimates 1.19 goals for Oliveira Hospital and 0.77 for Mortagua. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Oliveira Hospital and 6 for Mortagua, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Oliveira Hospital · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Oliveira Hospital is going head to head with Mortagua on November 28, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 9.
Oliveira Hospital take on Mortagua in the Campeonato de Portugal on 28 November 2026 at 18:00.
Oliveira Hospital are currently placed 5th in the table with 17 points, while Mortagua occupy 10th position with 15 points.
Oliveira Hospital come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mortagua have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Mortagua have 2 wins against Oliveira Hospital.
Prediction: Oliveira Hospital to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.96. Over 2.5: 31%. BTTS: 39%.




Oliveira Hospital are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Oliveira Hospital have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Oliveira Hospital have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mortagua have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Mortagua's last 6 matches.
Mortagua have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.