The model estimates 0.73 goals for Mortagua and 0.80 for Os Marialvas. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mortagua and 6 for Os Marialvas, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Draw · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mortagua is going head to head with Os Marialvas on December 20, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 12.
Mortagua take on Os Marialvas in the Campeonato de Portugal on 20 December 2026 at 18:00.
Mortagua are currently placed 7th in the table with 13 points, while Os Marialvas occupy 6th position with 13 points.
Mortagua come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Os Marialvas have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Mortagua have 1 win against Os Marialvas, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Mortagua and Os Marialvas to draw with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.54. Over 2.5: 20%. BTTS: 30%.
MOROS MOROS MOROS MOROS MOROS MOROS MOROS MOROS MOROS In their last 6 matches, Mortagua have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Mortagua have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mortagua's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Os Marialvas have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Os Marialvas have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Os Marialvas's last 6 matches.
