The model estimates 1.01 goals for Mortagua and 0.82 for O Elvas CAD. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mortagua and 6 for O Elvas CAD, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mortagua · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mortagua is going head to head with O Elvas CAD on December 06, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 10.
Mortagua take on O Elvas CAD in the Campeonato de Portugal on 6 December 2026 at 18:00.
Mortagua are currently placed 7th in the table with 13 points, while O Elvas CAD occupy 8th position with 13 points.
Mortagua come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas O Elvas CAD have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, O Elvas CAD have 1 win against Mortagua, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Mortagua and O Elvas CAD to draw with probability 34%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.83. Over 2.5: 28%. BTTS: 37%.




In their last 6 matches, Mortagua have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Mortagua have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mortagua's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, O Elvas CAD have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
O Elvas CAD have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of O Elvas CAD's last 6 matches.