The model estimates 1.04 goals for Malveira and 1.08 for Mortagua. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Malveira and 6 for Mortagua, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mortagua · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Malveira is going head to head with Mortagua on December 13, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 11.
Malveira take on Mortagua in the Campeonato de Portugal on 13 December 2026 at 18:00.
Malveira are currently placed 27th in the table with 8 points, while Mortagua occupy 7th position with 13 points.
Malveira come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mortagua have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Malveira and Mortagua to draw with probability 32%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.13. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 45%.
MALMORMALMORMALMORMALMORMALMORMALMORMALMORMALMORMALMORIn their last 6 matches, Malveira have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Malveira have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Malveira concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mortagua have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Mortagua have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mortagua's last 6 matches.
