The model estimates 2.02 goals for Jong AZ Alkmaar and 2.29 for Almere City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jong AZ Alkmaar and 6 for Almere City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Almere City · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jong AZ Alkmaar is going head to head with Almere City on November 06, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 14.
Jong AZ Alkmaar take on Almere City in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 6 November 2026 at 22:00.
Jong AZ Alkmaar are currently placed 10th in the table with 17 points, while Almere City occupy 3rd position with 25 points.
Jong AZ Alkmaar come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Almere City have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 14 recorded meetings, Almere City have 8 wins against Jong AZ Alkmaar.
Prediction: Almere City to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.32. Over 2.5: 80%. BTTS: 79%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Jong AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Jong AZ Alkmaar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Jong AZ Alkmaar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Almere City's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Almere City's last 6 matches.
Almere City score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.