The model estimates 2.70 goals for Almere City and 1.37 for Helmond. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Almere City and 6 for Helmond, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Almere City · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Almere City is going head to head with Helmond on November 14, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 15.
Almere City take on Helmond in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 14 November 2026 at 22:00.
Almere City are currently placed 4th in the table with 22 points, while Helmond occupy 19th position with 9 points.
Almere City come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Helmond have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Almere City to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.07. Over 2.5: 77%. BTTS: 70%.
ALMHELALMHELALMHELALMHELALMHELALMHELALMHELALMHELALMHELThere have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Almere City's last 6 matches.
Almere City have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Almere City score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Helmond have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Helmond have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Helmond's last 6 matches.
