The model estimates 2.08 goals for Jong Ajax and 2.52 for Jong AZ Alkmaar. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jong Ajax and 6 for Jong AZ Alkmaar, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Jong AZ Alkmaar · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jong Ajax is going head to head with Jong AZ Alkmaar on November 23, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 15.
Jong Ajax take on Jong AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 23 November 2026 at 22:00.
Jong Ajax are currently placed 15th in the table with 12 points, while Jong AZ Alkmaar occupy 8th position with 17 points.
Jong Ajax come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jong AZ Alkmaar have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, Jong AZ Alkmaar have 9 wins against Jong Ajax, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Jong AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.59. Over 2.5: 84%. BTTS: 81%.




Jong Ajax have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Jong Ajax's last 6 matches.
Jong Ajax have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Jong AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Jong AZ Alkmaar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Jong AZ Alkmaar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.