The model estimates 2.13 goals for Almere City and 1.43 for NAC Breda. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Almere City and 6 for NAC Breda, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Almere City · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Almere City is going head to head with NAC Breda on November 20, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 16.
Almere City take on NAC Breda in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 20 November 2026 at 22:00.
Almere City are currently placed 4th in the table with 22 points, while NAC Breda occupy 6th position with 21 points.
Almere City come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas NAC Breda have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 15 recorded meetings, NAC Breda have 9 wins against Almere City, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Almere City to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.56. Over 2.5: 69%. BTTS: 68%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Almere City's last 6 matches.
Almere City have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Almere City score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
NAC Breda are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, NAC Breda have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
NAC Breda have won 4 of their last 6 matches.