The model estimates 1.54 goals for Vila Mea and 0.88 for Maria de Fonte. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Vila Mea and 6 for Maria de Fonte, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Vila Mea · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Vila Mea is going head to head with Maria de Fonte on April 04, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 24.
Vila Mea take on Maria de Fonte in the Campeonato de Portugal on 4 April 2027 at 00:00.
Vila Mea are currently placed 30th in the table with 9 points, while Maria de Fonte occupy 47th position with 6 points.
Vila Mea come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Maria de Fonte have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Vila Mea have 1 win against Maria de Fonte, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Vila Mea to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.42. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 48%.
VILMARVILMARVILMARVILMARVILMARVILMARVILMARVILMARVILMARVila Mea have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Vila Mea have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Vila Mea's last 6 home matches.
Maria de Fonte have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Maria de Fonte have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Maria de Fonte's last 6 matches.
