The model estimates 1.09 goals for Maria de Fonte and 1.19 for Ponte da Barca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Maria de Fonte and 6 for Ponte da Barca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ponte da Barca · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Maria de Fonte is going head to head with Ponte da Barca on November 08, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 8.
Maria de Fonte take on Ponte da Barca in the Campeonato de Portugal on 8 November 2026 at 18:00.
Maria de Fonte are currently placed 49th in the table with 3 points, while Ponte da Barca occupy 47th position with 4 points.
Maria de Fonte come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ponte da Barca have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Maria de Fonte and Ponte da Barca to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.28. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 48%.
MARPONMARPONMARPONMARPONMARPONMARPONMARPONMARPONMARPONMaria de Fonte have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Maria de Fonte have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Maria de Fonte's last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.
