The model estimates 1.33 goals for Tirsense and 0.74 for Vila Mea. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Tirsense and 6 for Vila Mea, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Tirsense · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Tirsense is going head to head with Vila Mea on April 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 25.
Tirsense take on Vila Mea in the Campeonato de Portugal on 11 April 2027 at 00:00.
Tirsense are currently placed 16th in the table with 9 points, while Vila Mea occupy 22nd position with 8 points.
Tirsense come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Vila Mea have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Tirsense have 3 wins against Vila Mea, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Tirsense to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.06. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 40%.




In their last 6 matches, Tirsense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Tirsense have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Tirsense score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Vila Mea have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Vila Mea have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Vila Mea's last 6 away matches.