The model estimates 1.17 goals for Le Mans and 1.76 for Lyon. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Le Mans and 6 for Lyon, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lyon · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Le Mans is going head to head with Lyon on January 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 15.
Le Mans take on Lyon in the Ligue 1 on 2 January 2027 at 00:00.
Le Mans are currently placed 15th in the table with 7 points, while Lyon occupy 5th position with 14 points.
Le Mans come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lyon have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lyon to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.93. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 58%.




Le Mans have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Le Mans's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Le Mans have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Lyon have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
Lyon score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.